ISBN 9781847947147,Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction


Dan Gardner


Random House Books

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ISBN 9781847947147

Random House Books

Publication Year 2015

ISBN 9781847947147

ISBN-10 184794714X


Number of Pages 352 Pages
Language (English)
A ground-breaking new work on improving our ability to predict future events.
What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions our governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.

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